Results at national level – click on a member state
(hover over each bar for more info)
This is what the European Parliament could look like if it were elected today.
The projection is based on the latest national polls in all 27 member states (post-Brexit calculation) and is automatically updated by our software once a week. Hover over each bar for more information and see our method.
How could this data be interpreted?
1. Far right parties put together (ENF + EFDD + non-attached parties) could increase their share of seats by 42% - an increase from 12.9% of the total seats in the current European Parliament to 18.3% [+5.4 percentage points]
2. ALDE (liberals) could increase their share of seats by 54.3% if joined by Macron's "En Marche". This would be an increase from 8.9% of the total seats in the current European Parliament to 13.8% [+4.9 percentage points]. ALDE could, however, still increase its share of seats by 21.1% without Macron.
3. The main centre parties could both lose significantly. S&D (centre left) could see its share of seats decrease by 21.8% - a decrease from 25.4% of total seats in the current European Parliament to 19.9% [-5.5 percentage points]. EPP (centre right) could see its share of seats decrease by 12.2% - a decrease from 29.4% of total seats in the current European Parliament to 25.9% [-3.5 percentage points]. They will, however, clearly remain the biggest groups.
For more details, see the aggregate data and the data by national party. [This text is based on calculations from 24/09/18. The graphs and data, however, are automatically updated every week, so there may be differences between this text and the graphs/data.]
Who is ee_stats?
ee_stats is an independent and non-profit project by two recent graduates from Sciences Po Paris and Free University of Berlin. We are trying to use open data and programming to help increase public knowledge about current political trends in the EU. More features are planned.